A £100,000 project returns £30,000, £40,000, £40,000 and £40,000 in years 1 to 4. What is its payback period?
3.3.2 · Decision-making techniques
Investment appraisal
The same project's total inflows are £150,000 over 4 years on a £100,000 cost. What is its ARR?
A cash inflow of £50,000 arrives in year 2. The discount factor is 0.826. What is its present value?
A project has a negative NPV at the firm's discount rate. What does this mean?
Which is the main advantage of payback?
Which is the main weakness of ARR?
A £30,000 machine brings in £12,000 a year for 3 years. At 10%, the discount factors are 0.909, 0.826 and 0.751. What is its NPV?
Why might a firm choose a project with a lower NPV?
Which is a qualitative factor in an investment decision?
Why are forecast cash flows a risk in investment appraisal?
Crumb & Co
Crumb & Co is a family bakery supplying 70 cafés in Manchester. Demand is growing, and it can't bake enough croissants at peak times. It is choosing between two investments.
Extract A: Two investments
| Cost now | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A: automated oven line | 120,000 | 45,000 | 45,000 | 45,000 | 45,000 |
| B: second bakery unit | 110,000 | 30,000 | 40,000 | 50,000 | 60,000 |
Extract B: Other information
At a 10% discount rate the discount factors for years 1 to 4 are 0.909, 0.826, 0.751 and 0.683. The oven line would need four fewer bakers on the night shift. The second unit would need eight new staff, and the lease runs for 10 years. The family has £60,000 in the bank and would borrow the rest.
Using Extract A, calculate the average rate of return (ARR) for investment A.
Explain one limitation of using payback to compare the two investments.
Assess the usefulness of net present value when Crumb & Co compares the two investments.
Assess the non-financial factors Crumb & Co should consider before choosing an investment.
Crumb & Co could invest in the automated oven line (A) or the second bakery unit (B). Evaluate these two options and recommend which it should choose.